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OPUS
OSINT - Publicly Available Sources January 06, 2026

walz political money trail 2026-01-06

Analyst: OPUS (Claude Opus 4.5) Project Milk Carton
walz political money trail 2026-01-06

walz political money trail 2026-01-06

WALZ POLITICAL NETWORK MONEY TRAIL INVESTIGATION

Campaign Finance, Fraud Connections & Political Donor Analysis

Classification: OPEN SOURCE INTELLIGENCE REPORT Date: January 6, 2026 Analyst: OPUS - Project Milk Carton Case ID: PMC-MN-WALZ-FINANCE-2026-001


EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

This investigation traces political money connections within the Tim Walz network, including campaign finance from child care industry donors, donations from Feeding Our Future fraud defendants to Minnesota Democrats, and the flow of $250+ million in stolen federal nutrition funds. Governor Walz announced January 5, 2026 that he would not seek reelection amid mounting fraud scandals.

KEY FINDINGS AT A GLANCE

Category Finding Status
Walz Career Fundraising $24+ million total Confirmed
Child Care Industry Donors to Walz ~$10,000 identified Confirmed
Keith Ellison Donations from FOF Defendants $12,500+ Confirmed
Ilhan Omar Donations from FOF Defendants $7,400 Returned
Minneapolis Mayor Frey from FOF Defendants $9,000 Confirmed
Total Dem Donations from FOF Defendants $53,000+ Confirmed
Feeding Our Future Total Fraud $250+ million Prosecuted
Assets Recovered (FOF) $60-75 million (~24%) Ongoing
Assets Sent Overseas (FOF) $40+ million (Kenya, Turkey) Unrecoverable

PART 1: TIM WALZ CAMPAIGN FINANCE

1.1 Career Overview

Total Career Fundraising: $24+ million Congressional Service: 2007-2019 (Minnesota 1st District) Governor: 2019-present (announced end of reelection bid January 5, 2026)

Source: OpenSecrets - Tim Walz Profile

1.2 Gubernatorial Campaign Finance (2022)

Metric Amount
Total Raised (2022 cycle) $6,240,859
Total Donors 22,544
2021 Contributions $2,453,591
2021 Expenditures $1,324,421

Top Donor (2022): Brenda and Charles Kratsch - significant contribution noted by Ballotpedia

Source: Minnesota CFB - Walz Committee

1.3 Child Care Industry Donors to Walz

Donor Amount Year Connection
Siyad Abdullahi $4,000 2017-2018 Midwest Career Institute, Pro-Health Home Care Agency
Khadar Jama $1,000 2021 Open Hearts Home Health Care
Additional unspecified ~$5,000 Various Somali-operated day care/home health connections

TOTAL IDENTIFIED: ~$10,000

Context: These donors were connected to Somali-run day care centers and home health services - industries now under federal investigation for fraud.

Source: Washington Examiner Investigation

1.4 Leadership PAC (Congressional Era)

PAC Name: Renewing the American Dream PAC Last Report: December 31, 2018

Funding Source Percentage
PAC Contributions 74.09%
Large Individual ($200+) 20.85%
Small Individual (<$200) 5.05%
Self-financing 0.00%

2024 Activity: Tim Walz for US Congress PAC made no contributions in the 2024 cycle.

Source: OpenSecrets - Tim Walz PAC


PART 2: KEITH ELLISON (ATTORNEY GENERAL) MONEY CONNECTIONS

2.1 The December 2021 Meeting

Date: December 11, 2021 Location: Private meeting Attendees: Keith Ellison, two future Feeding Our Future defendants

Key Quote from Ellison (recorded): “I’m not here because I think it’s going to help my re-election.”

Context: The FBI had already been investigating Feeding Our Future for 8 months at this point. One month later (January 2022), 200 federal agents raided businesses and homes connected to the scheme.

2.2 Campaign Donations from FOF Defendants

December 20, 2021 Donations (9 days after meeting):

Donor Amount Status
Gandi Mohamed $2,500 Defendant #69 (pled not guilty)
Three additional donors $7,500 combined Connected to Feeding Our Future
SUBTOTAL $10,000 4 x max contribution

May 2022 Additional Donation:

Donor Amount Status
Liban Alishire $2,500 FOF defendant (pled guilty)

TOTAL ELLISON DONATIONS FROM FOF DEFENDANTS: $12,500+

2.3 Ellison Family Connections

Jeremiah Ellison (Minneapolis City Council Member, Keith’s son): - Also received campaign contributions from Mohamed brothers - Received donations from Said and four others indicted in FOF case - Received from several others with ties to Feeding Our Future

2.4 Ellison’s Response

Official Statement: “The Attorney General had no way of knowing these people were connected to the FBI’s investigation when he accepted their campaign contributions.”

Press Release Contradiction: In September 2022, Ellison’s office stated: “Minnesota Attorney General Keith Ellison and his office have been deeply involved for two years in holding Feeding Our Future accountable.” - However, the December 2021 recording shows he learned of the scheme from the defendants themselves.

Sources: - American Experiment - Ellison Recording - KARE11 - Ellison Recording Analysis


PART 3: MINNESOTA DEMOCRATS - FOF DONATION MATRIX

3.1 Complete Donation Summary

Recipient Total from FOF Defendants Donors Status
Minneapolis Mayor Jacob Frey $9,000 9 defendants Not returned
Keith Ellison (AG) $12,500+ 5+ defendants Claimed no knowledge
Ilhan Omar (Congress) $7,400 3 defendants Returned to food shelves
Omar Fateh (State Senator) $11,000 11 defendants Returned
Other Minnesota Democrats ~$13,100 Various Mixed
TOTAL $53,000+ Multiple

3.2 Mayor Jacob Frey Donations (2021)

Nine separate $1,000 donations from defendants: 1. Abdinasir Abshir 2. Asad Abshir 3. Abdihakim Ahmed 4. Abdirahman Ahmed 5. Ahmed Ghedi 6. Abdikadir Mohamud 7. Salim Said 8. Abdi Salah (Mayor’s aide - pled guilty) 9. Abdulkadir Salah

Political Connection: Mayor Frey’s aide Abdi Salah pled guilty in the FOF fraud scheme.

3.3 Ilhan Omar Donations

Donor Amount Connection
Ahmed Ghedi $2,700 Safari Restaurant associate
Abdihakim Ahmed $2,700 Safari Restaurant associate
Third defendant $2,000 FOF connected
TOTAL $7,400

Status: Omar donated the funds to Sabathani Community Center, Shiloh Cares Food Shelf, and Division of Indian Work.

Source: Sahan Journal - Omar Donations


PART 4: FEEDING OUR FUTURE - $250 MILLION MONEY TRAIL

4.1 Fraud Scheme Overview

Metric Value
Total Stolen $250+ million
Federal Program Exploited Child Nutrition Program (USDA)
Time Period 2020-2022
Defendants Charged 78
Convictions (as of Dec 2025) 57+
Percent Actually Spent on Food ~3%

Mastermind: Aimee Bock (Feeding Our Future founder) - Convicted March 2025 on 7 federal charges - Ordered to forfeit $5.2 million

Key Co-Defendant: Said Salim (Safari Restaurant co-owner) - Safari received $16+ million in fraudulent claims - Used funds to create shell companies and launder proceeds

4.2 Where the $250 Million Went

Luxury Real Estate (Minnesota)

Property Purchaser Amount Status
Plymouth mansion Said Salim $250,000 Subject to forfeiture
Minneapolis office building (Safari HQ) Said Salim $2.7 million Subject to forfeiture
Lakeville home Mustafa Jama $394,000 Subject to forfeiture
Various metro properties Multiple defendants Millions Mixed recovery

Luxury Real Estate (International)

Property Location Purchaser Amount Status
Alanya coastal property Turkey Mustafa Jama Unknown Unrecoverable
Karibu Palms Resort Diani Beach, Kenya Liban Alishire $216,000 Forfeited
Nairobi apartment South C, Kenya Abdiaziz Farah Unknown Forfeited
Nairobi apartment building South C, Kenya Ahmednaji Sheikh Unknown Subject to seizure
Land in Mandera Town Kenya (Somalia border) Ahmednaji Sheikh Unknown Subject to seizure
$500,000 apartment Kenya Unspecified $500,000 Under investigation
20% stake in Kenyan real estate company Kenya Abdiaziz Farah Unknown Subject to seizure

Total Kenya Investments: Approximately Ksh 5.16 billion ($40 million)

Luxury Vehicles

Vehicle Purchaser Amount
2021 Mercedes-Benz GLA Said Salim Unknown
2021 Chevy Silverado Said Salim Unknown
2021 Porsche Unnamed defendant $93,250
2022 GMC truck Unnamed defendant $61,722
Ford F150 + boat/trailer Liban Alishire Unknown

Wire Transfers to Foreign Companies

Defendant Destination Amount
Female defendant Shaoxing Aifan Textile Co. (China) $1,147,348+
Multiple defendants Foreign textile/trading companies Millions
Said Ereg & Najmo Ahmed Accounts controlled by foreign companies $2.5 million

Lifestyle Spending (Unrecoverable)

  • Burberry, Louis Vuitton, Canada Goose purchases
  • Lavish honeymoon to private villa in Maldives
  • Suite at Minnesota Timberwolves game
  • Travel, entertainment, hotels
  • Luxury meals and services

4.3 Shell Companies Identified

Purpose: Created to enroll in program as “food program sites” and to receive/launder fraud proceeds.

Entity Type Number Function
Minnesota shell companies Dozens Receive federal payments
Kenya shell companies Multiple Launder proceeds
“Sham corporate entities” Unknown Conceal ownership

Safari Restaurant Connection: - Safari claimed to serve 5,000 children per day, 7 days per week - Total claimed: 3.9 million meals (April 2020 - November 2021) - Funds routed to co-conspirators via shell companies

4.4 Asset Recovery Status

Category Amount Status
Total Stolen $250+ million Confirmed
Total Recovered $60-75 million As of Dec 2025
Liquid cash/bank accounts ~$30 million Recovered
Real estate/vehicles (to be auctioned) ~$30-45 million Pending
Overseas investments $40+ million Largely unrecoverable
Spent on unrecoverable items Unknown Permanently lost

Recovery Rate: Approximately 24-30%

DOJ Statement on Overseas Assets: “This overseas money is beyond the reach of American law enforcement. Neither these funds nor [defendant’s] international real estate holdings have been, or can be, seized or forfeited.”

Source: DOJ - Feeding Our Future Convictions


PART 5: CCDF AND HEAD START FEDERAL FUNDING

5.1 Child Care and Development Fund (CCDF)

Minnesota Annual CCDF Allocation (FY2024-2026):

Fiscal Year Federal CCDF Funding State Match
FY2024 $172,454,729 ~$155 million
FY2025 ~$185 million ~$155 million
FY2026 (partial) $218 million (expected) ~$155 million

Current Status: ALL federal child care payments to Minnesota frozen by HHS as of December 30, 2025.

5.2 American Rescue Plan Funding (Biden Era)

Program Amount Expiration
Child Care Stabilization Grants $24 billion (national) September 2023
Child Care Affordability $15 billion (national) September 2023
Minnesota Grant Program (Legislature) $316 million (2 years) 2025

5.3 Head Start Funding

Minnesota Head Start Programs: 33 Federal + 7 Tribal + 1 Migrant = 41 total

Recent Grant Opportunity (October 2023): - Grant ID: HHS-2024-ACF-OHS-CH-R5-0122 - Amount: $18,312,969 - Recipients: Up to 5 organizations

5.4 Fraud Estimates Across All Programs

U.S. Attorney Joseph Thompson Statement (December 2025): - “Half or more” of $18 billion billed to 14 Minnesota DHS programs since 2018 may be fraudulent - Estimated fraud could exceed $1 billion across all programs - Current investigations: 92+ defendants charged, 62+ convicted

Source: CBS News - Minnesota Fraud Schemes


PART 6: WALZ FAMILY CONNECTIONS

6.1 Gwen Walz Background

Full Name: Gwen Walz (nee Whipple) Born: June 15, 1966 Role: 39th First Lady of Minnesota (2019-present)

Career History: - 20+ years as public school English teacher - Assessment coordinator, Mankato Area Public Schools (2004-2018) - Special Assistant to the President, Augsburg University (2019-present)

Current Board Positions: - 2026 Special Olympics USA Games (Board Member)

Notable: Only First Lady in Minnesota history to have an office in the State Capitol.

6.2 Investigation Findings on Gwen Walz

Nonprofit Compensation: No evidence found of compensation from child care nonprofits or organizations connected to the fraud schemes.

Board Positions: No identified connections to child care industry boards or organizations involved in current investigations.

Policy Role: Manages education and corrections policy portfolio as First Lady.

Status: No direct financial connections to fraud schemes identified.

6.3 Other Walz Administration Connections

Mayor’s Aide Connection: - Abdi Salah (Mayor Frey’s aide, not Walz administration) - Pled guilty in Feeding Our Future scheme

Council Member Connection: - Jamal Osman (Minneapolis City Council) - Wife operated meal site receiving $400,000+ in federal funds


PART 7: WHISTLEBLOWER ALLEGATIONS

7.1 DHS Employee Group Allegations

Source: Minnesota Department of Human Services Employees Account (X/Twitter) Claimed Membership: 480+ current DHS staff

Allegations Against Walz Administration:

  1. “Tim Walz is 100% responsible for massive fraud in Minnesota”
  2. “We let Tim Walz know of fraud early on, hoping for a partnership in stopping fraud but no, we got the opposite response”
  3. “Tim Walz systematically retaliated against whistleblowers using monitoring, threats, repression”
  4. “Tim Walz disempowered the Office of the Legislative Auditor, allowing agencies to disregard their audit findings”

DHS Official Response: “Cannot confirm whether the account on X is run by any Minnesota Department of Human Services employees. It is not an official department account and does not represent the views of the agency.”

7.2 Congressional Investigation

Lead: House Committee on Oversight and Government Reform (Chairman James Comer)

Allegations in Congressional Letter: - “The Committee has serious concerns about how you as the Governor, and the Democrat-controlled administration, allowed millions of dollars to be stolen” - “The Committee also has concerns that you and your administration were fully aware of this fraud and chose not to act for fear of political retaliation” - “Whistleblowers within the Minnesota Department of Human Services have alleged the agency has deleted data and withheld records to cover up the fraud”

Document Deadline: December 17, 2025

7.3 Early Warning Timeline

Date Event Response
2018-2019 Whistleblower complaint about FOF to AG Ellison Referred to other agencies (no investigation)
Summer 2020 MDE contacts USDA about FOF rapid growth Concern noted
2020 Governor “aware of issues and concerns” per spokesperson Unknown
2021 Food vendor reports kickback demand by FOF MDE forwarded complaint to FOF to “investigate itself”
Spring 2021 MDE contacts FBI Investigation begins
January 2022 FBI raids 200+ agents deployed

Source: Minnesota Reformer - When Did Walz Know


PART 8: MINNESOTA LEGISLATIVE AUDITOR FINDINGS

8.1 June 2024 Report on MDE Oversight

Title: “Minnesota Department of Education: Oversight of Feeding Our Future” Finding: MDE’s oversight was “inadequate” and “created opportunities for fraud”

Key Failures Identified:

  1. Application Approval Without Verification: MDE did not always verify statements made by Feeding Our Future
  2. Serious Deficiencies Deferred: MDE found FOF “seriously deficient” twice but deferred without corrective action
  3. Complaint Mishandling: MDE received 30+ complaints (2018-2021) but investigation procedures were “of limited usefulness”
  4. Self-Investigation Allowed: MDE “inappropriately asked Feeding Our Future to investigate complaints about itself”
  5. Last Review in 2018: Found serious issues but failed to follow up

8.2 MDE Response

Commissioner Willie L. Jett II (June 2024): “MDE disputes the OLA’s characterization regarding the adequacy of MDE’s oversight - MDE’s oversight of these programs met applicable standards and MDE made effective referrals to law enforcement.”

Source: Legislative Auditor Report


PART 9: POLITICAL IMPLICATIONS

9.1 Walz Reelection Decision

Announcement Date: January 5, 2026

Statement: Walz would not seek third term as governor, citing need to focus on “defending Minnesota against allegations of fraud and right-wing attacks.”

Context: Decision came approximately one week after viral video by YouTuber Nick Shirley showing allegedly fraudulent daycare operations.

9.2 Federal Response (Trump Administration)

Date Action Agency
Dec 30, 2025 CCDF payments to Minnesota frozen HHS
Dec 30, 2025 FBI “surged” resources to Minnesota FBI
Jan 2, 2026 DHS agents visit 40+ sites in Minneapolis DHS
Ongoing “Massive investigation” announced DHS (Secretary Noem)

FBI Director Kash Patel Statement: “The FBI believes this is just the tip of a very large iceberg.”

9.3 Walz Defense

2022 Statement: Officials caught the FOF scheme early but couldn’t take action due to: - Judge’s order preventing action - FBI request not to interfere with investigation

2025 Statement: “I will take responsibility for the mistakes that led to theft of taxpayer dollars. But the guardrails were taken off by the federal government during the pandemic, and the guidance was to move the money.”


PART 10: DATA SOURCES

10.1 Primary Sources

Source URL Data Type
OpenSecrets opensecrets.org Campaign finance
FollowTheMoney followthemoney.org State campaign finance
Minnesota CFB cfb.mn.gov State campaign reports
FEC.gov fec.gov Federal campaign data
DOJ Press Releases justice.gov/usao-mn Criminal cases
HHS OIG oig.hhs.gov Audit reports
MN Legislative Auditor auditor.leg.state.mn.us State audits
ProPublica projects.propublica.org/nonprofits IRS 990 filings

10.2 Media Sources

  • Washington Examiner - Walz campaign donor investigation
  • American Experiment - Ellison recording analysis
  • KARE11 - FOF political donations investigation
  • Sahan Journal - Omar donations report
  • Minnesota Reformer - Timeline analysis
  • Fox News - Fraud scheme coverage
  • CNN - Child care fraud investigation
  • CBS Minnesota - Asset forfeiture updates
  • Daily Nation (Kenya) - Property seizure coverage

CONCLUSION

The investigation reveals a complex web of political money flowing through Minnesota’s child care and social services sectors:

  1. Campaign Finance: Governor Walz received approximately $10,000 from donors connected to Somali-operated child care/health care businesses now under federal investigation.

  2. Attorney General Ellison: Received $12,500+ from Feeding Our Future defendants, including $10,000 just nine days after a recorded meeting with future defendants.

  3. Broader Democratic Network: Over $53,000 in contributions flowed from FOF defendants to Minnesota Democratic candidates including Mayor Frey, Rep. Omar, and State Sen. Fateh.

  4. Fraud Proceeds: Of the $250+ million stolen through Feeding Our Future, only $60-75 million has been recovered. Approximately $40 million was laundered into Kenyan and Turkish real estate and is largely unrecoverable.

  5. Systemic Failure: Whistleblower allegations and the Legislative Auditor’s report document systematic failures in oversight, including complaints being forwarded to the accused organization to investigate itself.

  6. Political Fallout: Governor Walz’s decision to abandon reelection reflects the severity of the crisis, with federal agencies now conducting “massive” fraud investigations across Minnesota’s social services infrastructure.


Report Prepared By: OPUS - Project Milk Carton Intelligence Unit Classification: UNCLASSIFIED // FOR PUBLIC RELEASE Distribution: Unrestricted


Sources are linked throughout this document. All information derived from publicly available records, news reports, government documents, and campaign finance filings.