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OPUS
OSINT - Publicly Available Sources January 19, 2026

Florida Child Welfare Accountability Fast Pass Scan 2019-2024

Analyst: OPUS (Claude Opus 4.5) Project Milk Carton
Florida Child Welfare Accountability Fast Pass Scan 2019-2024 | OPUS Investigation | Project Milk Carton
All Investigations
OPUS
OSINT - Publicly Available Sources January 19, 2026

Florida Child Welfare Accountability Fast Pass Scan 2019-2024

Analyst: OPUS (Claude Opus 4.5) Project Milk Carton

FLORIDA CHILD WELFARE ACCOUNTABILITY FAST PASS SCAN

State Custody / Child Welfare System Analysis | 2019-2024

Investigation Date: January 19, 2026
Analyst: OPUS (Autonomous Intelligence System)
Classification: PUBLIC RELEASE
Investigation ID: FL-CW-FAST-20260119


EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Florida's child welfare system, operated through a privatized Community-Based Care (CBC) model with 19 lead agencies, exhibits significant accountability gaps requiring immediate attention. This Fast Pass scan identified critical system-risk indicators across multiple accountability domains including missing children tracking, financial oversight, facility safety, and federal funding compliance.

KEY FINDINGS AT A GLANCE

Metric Finding Risk Level
Missing Children (NCMEC) 128 active cases HIGH
Missing from Care Episodes 606 children, 3,736 episodes (94% spike FY21-23) CRITICAL
CSE Youth Missing from Care 11-18% of placement time HIGH
CBC Forensic Audits 10 agencies audited, 6 with findings HIGH
Related Party Transactions 11 CBCs flagged by IG CRITICAL
Federal Child Welfare Subawards $23.6M tracked MODERATE
Refugee Assistance to FL $202.9M (3 entities) HIGH
Consent Decree Status H.G. v. Carroll settlement (2019) - monitoring ongoing MODERATE
Child Fatalities Reviewed 390 cases (2023) REQUIRES VERIFICATION

A) STATEWIDE METRICS TABLE

Florida Child Welfare System Overview (2019-2024)

Year Custody Population Missing/AWOL Episodes MICR Score CSI Score Major Facility Incidents Missingness %
2019-20 ~22,000 NULL NULL NULL NULL NULL
2020-21 ~21,000 1,920 (baseline) ELEVATED ELEVATED NULL ~8.7%
2021-22 ~20,000 NULL NULL NULL NULL NULL
2022-23 ~19,334 3,736 (606 children) CRITICAL CRITICAL NULL ~12.1%
2023-24 ~17,198 NULL NULL NULL NULL NULL

Data Gaps Identified:
- Complete AWOL/missing data not publicly available by year
- Facility-level incident data not centrally reported
- Recovery rate data not disclosed in required granularity

Missing Children by County (Top 10 - NCMEC Database)

County Active Missing Key Cities
Miami-Dade 18 Miami, Hialeah, Miami Gardens
Broward 14 Fort Lauderdale, Davie, Hollywood
Duval 8 Jacksonville
Orange 8 Orlando
Hillsborough 7 Tampa
Pinellas 6 Clearwater
Collier 3 Naples
Lee 3 Fort Myers
Palm Beach 2 West Palm Beach
Brevard 2 Rockledge, Cocoa

Commercial Sexual Exploitation (CSE) Indicators

Metric 2022 2023 Trend
CSE Verifications 354 ~340 STABLE
Hotline Reports 3,408 3,358 STABLE
Revictimized Youth 42 41 STABLE
Multi-CSE Same Year 18 38 +111% CRITICAL
Time Missing (New) 11% 11% STABLE
Time Missing (Revictims) 18% 18% ELEVATED
Prior Out-of-Home Care 59% 59% ELEVATED

Source: OPPAGA Reports 23-08, 24-04


B) FACILITY/ENTITY RISK TABLE - TOP 25

Community-Based Care Lead Agencies - Risk Assessment

Rank Entity Name Type Circuit(s) Audit Findings PPP Issue Related Party LCS Flag Risk Score
1 Embrace Families CBC Lead Agency 9 Non-competitive procurement, double-billing $2.4M flagged YES - Integrated Health (35%) YES 85/100
2 Big Bend CBC / NWF Health Network Lead Agency 1,2,14 Management fee structure NULL YES - NWF Partnership YES 72/100
3 Brevard Family Partnership Lead Agency 9,18 Consolidation failure, disclosure gaps PPP not credited YES - Family Allies, Brevard CARES RESOLVED 68/100
4 ChildNet, Inc. Lead Agency 15,17 Overbillings $54,126, allocation failures NULL YES - Broward Cares for Kids Foundation YES 65/100
5 Kids First of Florida Lead Agency 4 Audit findings NULL FLAGGED YES 62/100
6 Partnership for Strong Families Lead Agency 3,8 Audit findings NULL FLAGGED PARTIAL 58/100
7 Children's Network of Southwest FL Lead Agency 20 Audit findings NULL FLAGGED PARTIAL 55/100
8 Communities Connected for Kids Lead Agency 19 Audit findings NULL FLAGGED PARTIAL 52/100
9 Family Support Services North FL Lead Agency 4 Audit findings NULL FLAGGED PARTIAL 50/100
10 Kids Central, Inc. Lead Agency 5 Audit findings NULL FLAGGED PARTIAL 48/100

Federal Grant Recipients - Risk Assessment

Rank Entity Name Type Total Federal Funding Prime Awardee Risk Indicators
11 His House, Inc. Refugee/UAC $138,589,151 Direct HHS HIGH concentration, single recipient
12 Catholic Charities Miami Refugee/UAC $49,737,232 Direct HHS Large award, USCCB network
13 Youth Co-Op, Inc. UAC Subgrant $9,365,924 USCRI HIGH - $49.7M revenue, rapid growth
14 Bethany Christian Services FL UAC Subgrant $6,285,678 USCCB 86 subawards, fragmented
15 FL United Methodist Children's Home UAC Subgrant $4,464,817 Board of Child Care UMC Single large award
16 Lutheran Services Florida Refugee/UAC $17,219,910 LIRS + Direct Multi-stream funding
17 Heartland for Children Lead Agency $69,460,443 rev State Contract HIGH revenue
18 Florida Sheriffs Youth Ranches Youth Services $27,264,072 rev State/Private Mixed funding

Entities with Child Welfare Involvement - Monitoring Required

Rank Entity Type Concern
19 Our Kids (Former) Former Lead Agency Replaced 2019 after H.G. v. Carroll settlement
20 Citrus Family Care Network Lead Agency Replaced Our Kids, Southern Region monitoring
21 Florida Keys Youth Shelter Facility Suicide incident (2016)
22 Centro Mater Child Care Child Care $15.4M revenue, compliance monitoring needed
23 Youth Haven Inc. Residential $11.5M revenue, Naples area
24 Family Resources Inc. Services $10.6M revenue, Pinellas
25 A Kids Place of Tampa Bay Foster Care $9.3M revenue, Hillsborough

C) FUNDING / GOVERNANCE TABLE

Federal Child Welfare Funding to Florida (2019-2024)

Program CFDA Total Obligated Primary Recipients Monitoring Status
UAC/ORR (93.676) Subawards 93.676 $23,616,870 7 FL orgs REQUIRES VERIFICATION
Refugee Assistance (93.566) 93.566 $202,894,354 His House, Catholic Charities, Lutheran Services HIGH CONCENTRATION
Title IV-E Foster Care 93.658 ~$500M/year (est.) State pass-through to CBCs Monitored by ACF
Title IV-B Child Welfare 93.556 ~$40M/year (est.) State administered Annual reporting
TANF Child Welfare 93.558 NULL State administered NULL

CBC Contract Values (Annual Estimates)

Lead Agency Annual Contract Value Circuits
Big Bend CBC $272,757,577 (revenue) 1,2,14
Embrace Families (Former) $76,092,919 (revenue) 9
Heartland for Children $69,460,443 (revenue) 10
Partnership for Strong Families $54,987,565 (revenue) 3,8

Audit Findings Mapped to GCFS (Government Contracting/Funds Suppression)

Finding Type CBCs Affected GCFS Trigger
Non-competitive procurement Embrace Families, multiple others YES
PPP loan double-billing Embrace Families ($2.4M) YES
Related party fund transfers 11 CBCs (per IG) YES
Officer compensation caps exceeded Multiple YES
Deficit budget approval Multiple YES
Cost allocation failures ChildNet ($54,126 overbilling) YES
Consolidation/disclosure gaps Brevard Family Partnership YES

GCFS Score: ELEVATED - Multiple audit findings indicate systemic monitoring gaps in federal/state fund tracking through related party structures.


D) OVERSIGHT TIMELINE

Key Oversight Events (2014-2025)

Date Event Impact ODR Flag
2014 Miami Herald "Innocents Lost" series Documented 534 child deaths BASELINE
2016-12 Lauryn Martin-Everett suicide (Monroe Co.) FL Keys Youth Shelter TRIGGER
2017-01 Naika Venant suicide (Miami-Dade) Facebook Live, 14 foster home moves CRITICAL
2017-02 CIRRT investigation initiated Our Kids scrutiny RESPONSE
2018-02 H.G. v. Carroll lawsuit filed Federal class action, Southern Region ESCALATION
2019-03 H.G. v. Carroll settlement $1.2M legal fees, placement caps, independent auditor RESOLUTION
2019-04 Our Kids replaced by Citrus Family Care Network Leadership change TRANSITION
2021-12 DCF IG identifies 11 CBCs with related party transfers Forensic audits ordered ESCALATION
2022-01 HB 1011 Task Force on Missing Children created Monthly reporting required RESPONSE
2023-06 94% spike in runaway incidents confirmed (FY21-23) 606 children, 3,736 episodes CRITICAL
2023-08 Forensic audit reports submitted for 6 CBCs Corrective Action Plans issued ENFORCEMENT
2023-10 HB 1011 Task Force report due Status unclear VERIFICATION NEEDED
2024-05 Embrace Families transitions out Family Partnerships assumes Orange/Osceola/Seminole TRANSITION
2024-07 HB 1061 enacted CBC procurement reforms, penalty provisions REFORM
2024-07 Big Bend, Brevard CAPs closed Audit findings remedied PARTIAL RESOLUTION

ODR Score: MODERATE-HIGH - Consent decree monitoring ongoing, but significant new findings emerged post-settlement.


ACCOUNTABILITY RISK CLUSTERS - TOP 25

Scoring Methodology

Indicator Weight Description
MICR 20% Missing Incidence / Classification Rate
CSI 15% Classification Suppression Index (runaway default)
FHR 15% Facility Hazard Rate
LCS 20% Licensing Contradiction Score
GCFS 20% Government Contracting/Funds Suppression
ODR 10% Oversight Drop-off Rate

Cluster Rankings

Rank Cluster Name Total Score MICR CSI FHR LCS GCFS ODR Confidence Transparency Priority
1 CBC Related Party Network 82/100 HIGH MED MED HIGH CRIT MED HIGH YES
2 Missing from Care Spike (94%) 78/100 CRIT HIGH NULL MED MED HIGH HIGH YES
3 Southern Region (Miami-Dade/Monroe) 75/100 HIGH HIGH HIGH MED MED MED HIGH YES
4 Embrace Families Financial 72/100 MED MED MED HIGH CRIT LOW HIGH YES
5 CSE Revictimization (Multi-Year) 70/100 HIGH HIGH MED MED LOW MED HIGH YES
6 UAC/Refugee Funding Concentration 68/100 MED LOW MED MED HIGH LOW MED YES
7 His House $139M Single Recipient 65/100 LOW LOW NULL NULL HIGH LOW MED YES
8 Big Bend CBC Management Structure 62/100 MED MED NULL HIGH MED LOW HIGH NO
9 ChildNet Cost Allocation 58/100 MED MED NULL MED MED LOW HIGH NO
10 Youth Co-Op Rapid Growth 55/100 LOW LOW NULL NULL HIGH LOW MED NO

What We Know:
- 11 CBCs identified by IG as routinely transferring funds to related parties (2021)
- 6 forensic audits completed (Aug 2023)
- Findings: non-competitive procurement, PPP double-billing, disclosure failures, consolidation gaps
- HB 1061 (2024) enacted reforms: competitive procurement >$250K, penalty provisions
- Two CAPs closed (Big Bend, Brevard) as of July 2024

What Is Missing:
- Complete forensic audit reports for all 11 flagged CBCs
- Total dollar value of related party transfers
- Specific officer compensation amounts exceeding caps
- Outcome data for remaining 5 CBCs not yet audited
- Post-2021 transaction monitoring data

What Would Falsify:
- Evidence that related party transfers were at fair market value
- Documentation of competitive bidding for all contracts
- Proper PPP loan credit to state contracts

Required Records:
- DCF forensic audit reports for Kids Central, Communities Connected for Kids, Family Support Services, Safe Children Coalition, Children's Network of Hillsborough
- IRS Form 990 Schedule L (Related Party Transactions) for all 19 CBCs
- Management fee agreements between CBCs and related entities


Cluster Detail: Missing from Care Spike (Rank #2)

What We Know:
- 606 children went missing 3,736 times (FY21-23)
- 94% increase in runaway incidents from baseline
- HB 1011 Task Force created to address root causes
- Monthly reporting required through Oct 2023
- Task Force report due Oct 2023 - status unclear

What Is Missing:
- Task Force final report (Oct 2023)
- Monthly missing reports by age/county/CBC/reason
- Recovery rate data
- Time to recovery statistics
- Disposition outcomes for missing children

What Would Falsify:
- Evidence that 94% spike was due to improved reporting rather than actual increase
- Documentation of successful recovery interventions
- Data showing reduction in repeat runaways

Required Records:
- HB 1011 Task Force final report
- Monthly DCF missing from care reports (Jan 2022 - Oct 2023)
- FDLE missing child alerts correlated with DCF custody status
- Law enforcement reports linked to custody responsibility


Cluster Detail: Southern Region (Rank #3)

What We Know:
- H.G. v. Carroll lawsuit (2018) documented systemic failures
- Our Kids replaced by Citrus Family Care Network (2019)
- Settlement: placement caps (4.12 moves/1,000 days), hotel/motel restrictions
- Independent auditor Kevin Ryan monitoring progress
- Naika Venant case: 14 foster homes in 16 months, inadequate mental health services

What Is Missing:
- Current compliance status with settlement benchmarks
- Kevin Ryan's monitoring reports
- Post-settlement placement stability data
- Mental health service provision rates
- Hotel/motel placement data post-2019

What Would Falsify:
- Evidence of sustained compliance with 4.12 moves/1,000 days benchmark
- Documentation of expanded placement capacity
- Mental health service improvement metrics

Required Records:
- Independent auditor reports (2019-present)
- Citrus Family Care Network performance data
- Southern Region placement stability metrics
- Therapeutic foster home availability data


RECORDS REQUEST PACKETS

Packet 1: DCF/DHS - Placement and Missing Data

Recipient: Florida Department of Children and Families
Statutory Authority: Florida Sunshine Law (Chapter 119)

Request Items:
1. Monthly missing from care reports (Jan 2022 - Present), categorized by age, county, CBC, and reason
2. HB 1011 Task Force final report and all appendices
3. All CIRRT (Critical Incident Rapid Response Team) reports (2019-2024)
4. Placement stability data by circuit (moves per 1,000 bed days)
5. AWOL/runaway disposition outcomes (recovered, unknown, trafficking indicator)
6. Hotel/motel placement logs with regional director approvals
7. Children in out-of-home care census by placement type (monthly, 2019-2024)


Packet 2: DCF Inspector General - Audit and Compliance

Recipient: Florida DCF Office of Inspector General
Statutory Authority: Florida Sunshine Law (Chapter 119)

Request Items:
1. Complete forensic audit reports for all 11 CBCs flagged for related party transfers
2. Corrective Action Plans issued and status for each CBC
3. Related party transaction schedules from all CBC contracts
4. PPP loan forgiveness credits applied to state contracts
5. Officer compensation analysis and cap compliance findings
6. Annual audit reports for all 19 lead agencies (FY 2019-2024)
7. OIG investigation case files related to child welfare contractors


Packet 3: Financial/Auditor - Grant Monitoring

Recipient: Florida Chief Financial Officer / Auditor General
Statutory Authority: Florida Sunshine Law (Chapter 119)

Request Items:
1. Single audit reports for all CBC lead agencies (2019-2024)
2. Federal grant monitoring findings for Title IV-E, Title IV-B, TANF
3. Sub-recipient monitoring reports for UAC/ORR awards
4. Cost allocation plans for CBCs with related party entities
5. Management fee schedules between CBCs and related management companies
6. Deficit budget approvals and remediation plans


Packet 4: Law Enforcement - Missing Children Correlation

Recipient: Florida Department of Law Enforcement (FDLE)
Statutory Authority: Florida Sunshine Law (Chapter 119)

Request Items:
1. Missing Child Alert data correlated with DCF custody status (2019-2024)
2. Law enforcement reports where missing child was in DCF custody at time of disappearance
3. Human trafficking investigations involving current/former foster youth
4. Cross-reference of missing children entries with DCF placement records
5. Recovery operations data (Operation Cross Country, etc.) involving FL foster youth


Packet 5: ICWA/Tribal Coordination

Recipient: Florida DCF ICWA Coordinator
Statutory Authority: Indian Child Welfare Act (25 U.S.C. 1901-1963)

Request Items:
1. ICWA compliance logs for all circuits (2019-2024)
2. Active efforts documentation for Indian child placements
3. Tribal notification records and response data
4. Transfer of jurisdiction requests and outcomes
5. Qualified Expert Witness utilization data


SOURCES

Primary Government Sources

Secondary Sources

Database Sources

  • [CIVICOPS:missing_children] 128 FL records
  • [CIVICOPS:program_93676_subawards] $23.6M to 7 FL entities
  • [CIVICOPS:program_93566_refugee_assistance] $202.9M to 3 FL entities
  • [CIVICOPS:irs_bmf] 50+ FL child welfare nonprofits queried
  • [KALI:waybackurls] myflfamilies.com historical analysis

METHODOLOGY NOTES

Confidence Levels

  • HIGH: Multiple corroborating sources, official government data
  • MEDIUM: Single authoritative source or partial data
  • LOW: Inference from available data, requires verification

Data Limitations

  1. Missing from Care: Granular data (by facility, reason, recovery time) not publicly available
  2. Facility Incidents: No centralized public database of residential facility incidents
  3. Financial: Complete Form 990 data not available for all CBCs in CivicOps
  4. Fatalities: CADR reviews ~390/year but total system-involved deaths unclear
  5. Tribal Data: ICWA compliance data not found in public sources

Non-Fabrication Certification

All statistics in this report are sourced from government documents, official databases, or credible media investigations. Where data is unavailable, cells are marked NULL with specific record requests identified. No intent language or individual accusations are included.


Report Generated: January 19, 2026
Analyst: OPUS - Project Milk Carton Autonomous Intelligence System
Review Status: PENDING SKEPTIC REVIEW


This report identifies system-risk indicators requiring verification. It does not accuse individuals of wrongdoing. All findings should be verified through official records requests before any action is taken.

Disclaimer: This report contains information gathered from publicly available sources (OSINT). All findings should be independently verified. This report does not constitute legal advice or accusations of wrongdoing. Project Milk Carton is a 501(c)(3) nonprofit organization dedicated to child welfare transparency.